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US Iran war risks rise as diplomacy stalls

United States and Iran flags flying over oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz during rising US Iran war tensions

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US and Iran remain locked in a dangerous standoff as efforts to secure a lasting peace in the Gulf continue to go nowhere. A senior Iranian source confirmed that talks aimed at reviving the interim deal struck in June have produced zero progress. Both sides still cannot agree on a permanent end to the fighting or a clear timeline for carrying out their commitments.

The June agreement had promised an immediate and permanent halt to military operations on all fronts. It collapsed quickly. US President Donald Trump declared the deal “over” on July 7, while Iran’s foreign ministry called it suspended a week later. Washington now accuses Tehran of breaking its promise to reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz. Iran fires back that the United States failed to lift the blockade of Iranian ports and release frozen assets.

Trump claimed on Wednesday that America holds “total control” over the Strait. Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority rejected that claim, saying the waterway stays closed until Tehran’s conditions are met. “Iran is all talk and no action,” Trump wrote on Truth Social, calling the country the “Bully of the Middle East No Longer.”

The conflict that began with US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28 has already killed thousands, mostly in Iran and Lebanon. Iranian forces have hit American assets and infrastructure across Oman, Jordan, Kuwait, Israel, the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

The original 60-day window for reaching a final nuclear and sanctions deal was never extended, according to the Iranian source. Reports suggesting Pakistan helped broker an extension were dismissed. From Tehran’s view, the United States violated the agreement within 48 hours and formally walked away days later, so there is simply nothing left to extend.

Meanwhile, attacks on shipping continue. A suspected Houthi strike killed four crew members on a cargo vessel in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, while a US Navy helicopter disabled a Panama-flagged ship with Hellfire missiles. Oil markets remain jittery. Brent crude, which once spiked to $126 a barrel, traded near $88 on Wednesday as traders weighed the risk of further disruption to Gulf supplies.

With diplomacy frozen and both sides trading accusations, the risk of another round of escalation hangs heavy over the region.

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